Interactive Output (Temporal Causal Modeling)

The output from temporal causal modeling includes a number of interactive output objects. Interactive features are available by activating (double-clicking) the object in the Output Viewer.

Overall model system

Displays the causal relations between series in the model system. All lines that connect a particular target to its inputs have the same color. The thickness of the line indicates the significance of the causal connection, where thicker lines represent a more significant connection. Inputs that are not also targets are indicated with a black square.

• You can display relations for top models, a specified series, all series, or models with no inputs. The top models are the models that meet the criteria that were specified for best-fitting models on the Series to Display settings.
• You can generate impact diagrams for one or more series by selecting the series names in the chart, right-clicking, and then choosing Create Impact Diagram from the context menu.
• You can choose to hide causal relations that have a significance level that is greater than a specified value. Smaller significance levels indicate a more significant causal relation.
• You can display relations for a particular series by selecting the series name in the chart, right-clicking, and then choosing Highlight relations for series from the context menu.

Impact diagram

Displays a graphical representation of the causal relations between a series of interest and other series that it affects or that affect it. Series that affect the series of interest are referred to as causes.

• You can change the series of interest by specifying the name of the series that you want. Double-clicking any node in the impact diagram changes the series of interest to the series associated with that node.
• You can toggle the display between causes and effects and you can change the number of levels of causes or effects to display.
• Single-clicking any node opens a detailed sequence diagram for the series that is associated with the node.

Outlier root cause analysis

Determines which series are most likely to be the cause of each outlier in a series of interest.

• You can display the root cause for any outlier by selecting the row for the outlier in the Outliers table. You can also display the root cause by clicking the icon for the outlier in the sequence chart.
• Single-clicking any node opens a detailed sequence diagram for the series that is associated with the node.

Overall model quality

Histogram of model fit for all models, for a particular fit statistic. Clicking a bar in the bar chart filters the dot plot so that it displays only the models that are associated with the selected bar. You can find the model for a particular target series in the dot plot by specifying the series name.

Outlier distribution

Bar chart of the number of outliers, across all targets, for each time interval in the estimation period. Clicking a bar in the bar chart filters the dot plot so that it displays only the outliers that are associated with the selected bar.