This setting controls the confidence intervals for both
forecasts and model parameters. You can specify any positive value less than
100. By default, a 95% confidence interval is used.
Maximum number of inputs for each target
This setting specifies the maximum number of inputs that are allowed in the
model for each target. You can specify an integer in the range 1 - 20. The model for each target always includes lagged values of
itself, so setting this value to 1 specifies that the only input is the
target itself.
Model tolerance
This setting controls the iterative process that is used for
determining the best set of inputs for each target. You can specify any value that is greater than
zero. The default is 0.001. Model tolerance is a stop criterion for predictor selection. It can
affect the number of predictors that are included in the final model. But if a target can predict
itself very well, other predictors may not be included in the final model. Some trial and error may
be required (for example, if you have this value set to high, you can try setting it to a smaller
value to see if other predictors can be included or not).
Outlier threshold (%)
An observation is flagged as an outlier if the
probability, as calculated from the model, that it is an outlier exceeds
this threshold. You can specify a value in the range 50 - 100.
Number of Lags for Each Input
This setting specifies the number of lag terms for each input in the model for
each target. By default, the number of lag terms is automatically determined
from the time interval that is used for the analysis. For example, if the time
interval is months (with an increment of one month) then the number of lags is
12. Optionally, you can explicitly specify the number of lags. The specified
value must be an integer in the range 1 - 20.
Continue estimation using existing models
If you already generated a temporal causal model, select this option to reuse
the criteria settings that are specified for that model, rather than building a
new model. In this way, you can save time by reestimating and producing a new
forecast that is based on the same model settings as before but using more
recent data.