A neural network uses a portion of the historic data to
derive patterns that are then used to predict additional data.
About this task
The stage needs to be set just so.
Procedure
- Open the Model page of the Forecast
editor.
- Click Add.
The Forecast
model selection page of the Add Model wizard
opens.
- Click Neural network and then click Next.
The Neural network page of the Add
Model wizard opens.
- Specify a value in the Allowable reduction (%) field.
- Specify a value in the Allowable increase (%) field.
- Select the frequency at which you expect to see seasonal
effects on the data from the Seasonal frequency drop-down
list.
- Specify how many times the neural network runs the data
to train itself in the Training iteration drop-down
list.
- Specify the type of neural network algorithm to be used.
Available algorithms include:
- Gradient descent - A first-order optimization
algorithm.
- Quick prop - A slight variation of the
standard backpropagation of error algorithm.
- R-prop - A resilient backpropagation of
error algorithm.
- Select the number of hidden neurons from the Hidden
neurons drop-down list.
- Specify the random seed of the neural network in the Random
seed field.
- Specify a value in the Training set (%) field.
- Select the Show training progress check
box to display the training progress of the neural network.
- Click Finish.
The Add
Model wizard closes and the forecast model is displayed
in the table.