Assessing crime risk

Assess the risk of crime by applying historical data, current weather, and other data to an incident risk analysis.

Before you begin

Configure data sources that include zones and reporting areas, historical crime data, and weather data. Also, configure analytics for boundary areas. For more information, see the related link.

About this task

Crime risk assessment uses historical data to project the likelihood of future criminal activity by type, location, and day or time. You can limit the analysis to day, time, or location. You configure and manage crime analytics with the integrated crime analytics configuration tool.

Procedure

  1. In the Integrated Crime Analytics view, click Charts > Incident Risk Analysis.
  2. To view charts of the three areas that are most likely to experience crime, select an analysis and a date and time on the Results tab in the Incident Risk Analysis window, then click Run. The Results tab displays the probability of each type of crime in the three areas that are most likely to experience crime. If any crime is likely to occur in the selected zone during the selected hour, the individual crime model assesses and displays the probability that a crime of a particular crime type occurs.
  3. To view the probability of crime during each of the nine hours starting with the selected time, select Show incident probability by hour, then click Run. Crime probability by hour is listed for each of the three areas most likely to experience crime.
  4. You can view the crime risk for each zone or reporting area on the map. Click a zone to view details about the crime types and probability.
  5. To view the list of crime probabilities by area and time, click the List tab.
  6. To view information about the relevant analytic factors, if any, click the Factors tab.
  7. To validate crime risk analysis compared to actual crime, click the Validation tab.
    1. Select an analysis.
    2. Select the beginning date and time period (day, week, or month).
    3. Click Run. The summary shows crime risk compared to actual during the selected time period.