The blog is Leadership by Numbers, authored by Jack Dausman. Thanks to Jack for pointing me/us all to it in his comment on Social Network Analysis. I don't know Jack and have only looked at his blog a little bit, but I love the premise:
As kids, we made art with paint-by-number kits. Simply matching the outline numbers with an oil paint gave us the illusion of mastery. Today, I'm in IT management in Washington, DC: consulting, systems administration, development & training. And, I still see a lot of paint-by-number projects which try to be the real thing. IT leadership is about reading the numbers, then going outside the lines and taking risks.
Now that is an excellent analogy for how I feel about heavyweight software methodologies! All too often, people are following all the steps but totally missing the point of producing good software. One colleague recently told me, "Sub-average programmers aren't successful with agile methodologies." I responded, "As compared to what? Sub-average programmers certainly aren't successful with heavyweight methodologies! They're not successful with anything; that's what makes them sub-average." Paint-by-numbers doesn't make you an artist, and methodologies by themselves don't make you good at developing software.
For more thoughts along these lines, check out how complicated use cases have gotten.