Research firm Gartner believes that 80 percent of all commercial software applications will include open-source components by 2012. Gartner notes that the value and robustness of open-source software offers compelling opportunities for commercial software developers to reduce development costs. This prediction was included in a collection of educated guesses published by the company late last month in an effort to provide insight into possible trends for the coming years.
"By 2012, 80 per cent of all commercial software will include elements of open-source technology," Gartner wrote in a report. "Many open-source technologies are mature, stable and well supported. They provide significant opportunities for vendors and users to lower their total cost of ownership and increase returns on investment. Ignoring this will put companies at a serious competitive disadvantage. Embedded open-source strategies will become the minimal level of investment that most large software vendors will find necessary to maintain competitive advantages during the next five years."