Oddments -- Is that the future? The Pew Internet and American Life Project has a survey for you -- while most visionaries see a better and better world through technology, some of the respondents in the survey see big, technology-inspired problems by 2020. Problems like addiction to virtual lives, loss of control over technology, and more accidental transparency in personal information. Some quotes from the survey:
There is a strong likelihood that virtual reality will become less virtual and more reality for many. However, I see this as an addiction phenomenon that will likely inspire us to understand unexplored dimensions of being human.
While area codes might still define geographic locations in 2020, reality codes may define virtual locations. Multiple personalities will become commonplace, andcyberpsychiatry will proliferate.
Corporation-based cultural groupings may actually be one of the most destructive forces if not enough cultural, relational and bottom-up social forces are built up.
Privacy is a thing of the past. Technologically it is obsolete.
We are constructing architectures of surveillance over which we will lose control.
Fear of enslavement by our creations is an old fear. . . . But I fear something worse and much more likely -- that sometime after 2020 our machines will become intelligent, evolve rapidly, and end up treating us as pets. We can at least take comfort that there is one worse fate -- becoming food -- that mercifully is highly unlikely.
Until testing, bug fixing, user interfaces, usefulness and basic application by subjectmatter experts is given a higher priority than pure programmer skill, we are totally in danger of evolving into an out-of-control situation with autonomous technology.
And many other fun predictions. --ks
Returnto the Power Architecture zone--- Yesterday's posts ---