Estimation variance and governance

From the developerWorks archives

Murray Cantor

Date archived: December 26, 2016 | First published: March 15, 2006

from The Rational Edge: Uncertainties at the onset of software development projects are well known among seasoned project managers, yet estimations for project costs and timelines are often made as if these uncertainties do not exist. This paper explores the consequences for ignoring such variances and proposes a mathematically sound technique for reducing them as a means toward providing greater accuracy in the estimation process.

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